ગુજરાતી
English
Dilip Patel
Ahmedabad, 2025
In 2027, the Boundary Commission will redraw the boundaries of the Assembly constituencies in Gujarat. The new delimitation could increase the number of MLAs in Gujarat by 50. It is estimated that the number of MLAs in Gujarat could increase from 182 to 230. This figure is not official; it is based on population. Assembly seats will be determined based on population.
If a population of 300,000 is considered as an Assembly constituency,
If Gujarat’s estimated population is 70 million, then if the Boundary Commission considers a population of 200,000, there will be 350 seats in an Assembly constituency. If a population of 250,000 is considered as an Assembly constituency, there will be 280 seats. If a population of 300,000 is considered as an Assembly constituency, there will be 233 Assembly constituencies. However, the Boundary Commission has not yet formed, nor has the population standard been announced.
Border Politics
If parties other than the BJP don’t understand this math, it will be difficult for them to form a government in 2027. Because, despite boundary changes, there are 55 assembly seats where the BJP hasn’t lost from 1991 to 2022. There are 35 seats where the BJP has lost once. These seats are mostly in urban areas. If this area remains unchanged in the new delimitation, the chances of a change in power are very low. Therefore, if opposition parties don’t understand the politics of the Boundary Commission in detail, they may once again be excluded from power. Opposition parties don’t pay much attention to cities. However, urban seats are expected to increase in 2027. Cities are BJP-held, where both opposition parties have been quite successful in establishing their hold. Specifically, there will be 45-50 seats in the cities of Ahmedabad, Surat, Vadodara, and Rajkot where even boundary changes won’t make much difference to the ruling party.
MLA Residences
The new residences built for members of the Legislative Assembly in Gandhinagar comprise 214 residences. Currently, Sector 21 houses 168 residences for MLAs. In addition, the Minister’s Residence has 47 bungalows for ministers, opposition leaders, the Speaker, Deputy Speaker, Chief Whip, and other officials.
Seats in Saurashtra
Out of 182 MLAs, Saurashtra has 48 seats. If there were 230 MLAs, Saurashtra could barely have 50 MLAs. In 2017, the BJP had 18 MLAs and the Congress had 30 MLAs in the 48-seat Assembly. In 2022, the Congress had 1 MLA and the Aam Aadmi Party had 3 MLAs, finishing last.
In 2022, the 11 districts in the Saurashtra region had a total of 11,228,209 voters, representing 25 percent of the total electorate. The total number of voters in Gujarat in 2022 was 49 million. This simply means that only 25 percent of voters remain in Saurashtra.
1.2 million new voters were registered.
The population of Saurashtra has declined significantly. Therefore, the number of seats may decrease, or the increase will be less than the increase in other regions. The reduction in the number of MLAs and MPs will reduce Saurashtra’s political influence in Gandhinagar and Delhi. This is because people have migrated from Saurashtra. Lack of employment and a lack of industries have prevented development.
India has undergone significant changes in the last fifteen to sixteen years. Even cities in Saurashtra, or in India with populations of fifty thousand to one lakh, are becoming empty.
Young men from villages and small towns are unwilling to marry any girl, because the girl herself does not want to go there.
Now, one injustice may lead to another. The population has declined in Amreli, Jamnagar, Bhavnagar, Surendranagar, and Botad districts. Therefore, the number of MLAs there will also decrease. If the citizens of Saurashtra do not put pressure on the Election Commission or the Central Government now, political injustice may occur. Currently, South India is highlighting the issue of low population.
Seats may increase in seven districts of Central Gujarat, including Ahmedabad. The population in 2011 was 21.2 million.
In Kutch, one or two seats may increase due to population growth.
Seats will increase in South Gujarat due to population growth.
Seats may remain stable in North Gujarat. The population here in 2021 was 13 million.
In 2027, an Assembly will be formed with a majority of urban MLAs.
During the 2004 delimitation, rural voters dominated the Assembly. Now, the number of urban constituencies will increase from 55 to 60 percent. Approximately 130 of the 230 seats are expected to be urban.
Two Legislative Assemblies
After the 2032 elections, Gujarat will be required to have two Legislative Assemblies. One for urban and the other for rural areas. If this is not done, voters in rural areas will face injustice in democracy.
Lok Sabha Seats
India’s projected population will be 1.42 billion in 2026. Delimitation will be crucial, determining the boundaries of constituencies based on population. If the total number of Lok Sabha seats increases from 543 to 800, 14 out of 42 constituencies in Gujarat will be reserved for women.
Rajya Sabha Seats
The number of MPs representing Gujarat in the Rajya Sabha will increase from 11 to approximately 17.
Defections – Migration
Of the BJP’s 161 MLAs, every seventh MLA defected from the Congress. From 2017 to 2022, the BJP was filled with Congress workers and won. Now, it can win on the strength of cities without relying on Saurashtra. This is why former Chief Ministers Narendra Modi, Vijay Rupani, and Bhupendra Patel focused more on cities and neglected rural areas. That’s why many people have left their villages and moved to cities.
Urban population and
Area
The 31 major cities cover an area of 3,037 square kilometers, with an estimated population of 27.65 million in 2021.
Population Estimates for Cities in 2021
City Area and Population
City Square Kilometers Population in Lakhs 2021
Ahmedabad – 530 – 8253,000
Surat – 461.6 – 7490,000
Vadodara – 220.33 – 2233,000
Rajkot – 170 – 1934,000
Bhavnagar – 108.27 – 771,000
Jamnagar – 125.67 – 623,000
Junagadh – 160 – 415,000
Gandhinagar – 326 – 410,000
Anand – 47.89 – 374,000
Navsari – 43.71 – 367,000
Surendranagar – 58.6 – 329,000
Morbi – 46.58 – 327,000
Gandhidham – 63.49 – 322,000
Nadiad – 78.55 – 292,000
Bharuch – 43.8 – 290,000
Patan – 43.89 – 283,000
Porbandar – 38.43 – 282,000
Mehsana – 31.08 – 247,000
Bhuj – 56 – 244,000
Veraval – 39.95 – 241,000
Vapi – 22.44 – 223,000
Valsad – 24.1 – 221,000
Godhra – 20.16 – 211,000
Palanpur – 39.5 – 182,000
Himmatnagar – 21.01 – 181,000
Kalol – 25.42 – 174,000
Botad – 10.36 – 169,000
Amreli – 65 – 153,000
Gondal – 74.48 – 145,000
Jetpur – 23.27 – 153,000
Deesa – 20.08 – 111,160
Total – 3,037 – 27,650,000
Competition
With the creation of new constituencies, former candidates or MLAs will be eligible for re-nomination, but the gram panchayats, municipalities, municipalities, etc. included in the new area will be affected. The winning candidates of the respective parties in the district and taluka panchayats will also be contenders for the new assembly seat.
Population Mathematics for the Border
The population has increased by 21 percent in the 15 years since 2011. 65 percent of the population is under 35 years of age, every second Gujarati is under 25, and every 12th Gujarati is elderly. Gujarat’s population exceeds that of 170 countries.
Ahmedabad’s population is larger than the capitals of 22 states in India.
Since 2011, the proportion of youth aged 15-24 has increased the most. Their population has increased from 11.5 million to 14.3 million in 15 years. Gujarat has surpassed Karnataka in terms of population. In 2031, it will become the seventh largest state, surpassing Tamil Nadu.
According to the 2001 census, the urbanization rate in the state was approximately 37 percent in 2009. According to the 2011 census, 45 percent of the population lived in cities. In 2025, the urban population has increased to 51 percent. This could increase to 55 percent when the census is completed in 2025. However, 60 percent of legislative seats in the Assembly could be urban. Therefore, urbanization will increase, and caste-based candidates may be less likely to participate.
In the Assembly, with a 55 percent urban population, 115 of the 216 seats could be from cities.
Caste-based vote banks will be the primary factor in candidate selection.
In Gujarat, 74 of the 182 assembly seats in 17 metropolitan cities have become urban. Furthermore, if influential voters from smaller cities are also included, 85 seats have become urban.
If the principle of 150,000 to 250,000 voters per representative is maintained, the number of assembly seats could increase by 34, reaching 216, but it could also reach 230.
There will be an assembly seat within a radius of four to five kilometers in cities.
The area of rural constituencies with low populations will increase from the current one.
After the new delimitation, 76 seats in the Gujarat Legislative Assembly will be reserved for women. This constitutes 33 percent of the seats in the Assembly. Women have 50 percent reservation in local governments.
A new delimitation commission will be constituted by the Central Election Commission in 2026. The delimitation period is set to expire in 2027. A notification regarding the new delimitation will be issued by the Central Election Commission. States will be ordered to carry out delimitation based on population and area.
Census Authority
According to the Census of India rules, a city with a population of five thousand or more is considered an urban area. The density of a city must be four hundred or more persons per square kilometer.
Urbanization in the country has increased rapidly since 2001. Economic, government policies, and changing patterns of trade and industry are responsible for this.
The Indian government did not conduct the census it should have conducted in 2021. Not conducting the census is not a good thing for the government either.
Census Cities
In 1991, there were 1,700 cities in India. In 2001, there were 5,161 cities in India. In 2011, this number increased to 7,935. In ten years, 2,774 villages were converted into towns. Some were even completely new. This happens in industrial areas.
The rate of urbanization has increased unprecedentedly in the past twenty years, and it is estimated that India will have 12,000 or 15,000 cities in the 15 years from 2011 to 2025.
Across the world, old and large cities are shrinking. New and small cities are growing. However, in India, old and large cities are not shrinking; they are growing even larger.
Ahmedabad, Surat, and Rajkot have tripled in size in 25 years. In history, hardly any city in the world has grown so rapidly.
Small cities have developed within the neighborhoods of larger cities or on their outskirts.
Large cities are beneficial for parties and companies.
The larger the city, the more beneficial it is for large companies as well as for trade and commerce. Census records contain a wealth of information that can be useful to many companies.
The proportion of people living in villages and cities, the number of cities, large towns, villages, etc. in the country, and the families living in villages and cities.
The number of cars, electricity, internet, cooking gas, mobile, Wi-Fi connections, and vehicle ownership become crucial details for business and political marketing for business expansion.
On the other hand, following the IT revolution, many medium-sized cities have expanded uncontrollably. Jobs and housing are available there. Couples are also increasingly choosing to live alone.
Infrastructure construction in India has increased significantly in these fourteen years. Modern technologies like internet, 5G, and Wi-Fi have also reached almost everywhere.
Musk’s Starlink company will provide services to smartphones directly from satellites.
New census data will show the number of cellphone connections exceeding 115 million. This is a major source of income for global companies.
In the past 10 years, 95,000 kilometers of national highways have been built. New record-breaking data will also emerge regarding the movement of people, tourists, employees, workers, and the increasing rate of labor migration.
Forty percent of the country’s population lives in cities. In Gujarat, this figure is over 50 percent.
Villages that have already become deserted will become even more so. Due to the labor shortage and high labor rates, agricultural products will become even more expensive. People’s fascination with big cities is not diminishing.
New Delimitation
After getting approval in the year 2008, the new delimitation has come into effect in Gujarat. The details of which seats were there before the new delimitation and which seats are there after the new delimitation are given here. The first assembly elections were held after the new delimitation, before this, the Lok Sabha elections 2009 in Gujarat were held according to the new delimitation. The Gujarat assembly elections 2012 were being held for the first time according to the new delimitation. At that time, as the political equations changed, all the political parties had to face the difficulty of attracting votes.
1 Kutch
Pre-Delimitation 1 Abdasa 2 Mandvi 3 Bhuj 4 Mundra (SC) 5 Anjar 6 Rapar
Post-Delimitation 1 – Abdasa 2 – Mandvi 3 – Bhuj 4 – Anjar 5 – Gandhidham 6 – Rapar
2 Surendranagar
Pre-Delimitation 7 Dasada (SC) 8 Wadhwan 9 Limbdi 10 Chotila 11 Halvad 12 Dhrangadhra
Post-Delimitation 60 – Dasada (SC) 61 – Limbdi 62 – Wadhwan 63 – Chotila 64 – Dhrangadhra
3 Rajkot
Pre-Delimitation 13 Morbi 14 Tankara 15 Wankaner 16 Jasdan 17 Rajkot-I 18 Rajkot-II 19 Rajkot Rural (SC) 20 Gondal 21 Jetpur 22 Dhoraji 23 Upleta
After Delimitation: 65 – Morbi, 66 – Tankara, 67 – Wankaner, 68 – Rajkot East, 69 – Rajkot West, 70 – Rajkot South, 71 – Rajkot Rural (SC) 72 – Jasdan, 73 – Gondal, 74 – Jetpur, 75 – Dhoraji
4. Jamnagar
Before Delimitation: 24 Jodiya, 25 Jamnagar, 26 Jamnagar Rural (SC) 27 Kalavad, 28 Jamjodhpur, 29 Bhanvad, 30 Khambhalia, 31 Dwarka
After Delimitation: 76 – Kalavad (SC) 77 – Jamnagar Rural, 78 – Jamnagar North, 79 – Jamnagar South, 80 – Jamjodhpur, 81 – Khambhalia, 82 – Dwarka
5. Junagadh
Before Delimitation: 34 Mangrol, 35 Manavadar, 36 Keshod (SC) 37 Talala 38 Somnath 39 Una 40 Visavadar 41 Malia 42 Junagadh 47 Kodinar
After Delimitation 85 – Manavadar 86 – Junagadh 87 – Visavadar 88 – Keshod 89 – Mangrol 90 – Somnath 91 – Talala 92 – Kodinar (SC) 93 – Una
6 Amreli
Before Delimitation 43 Babra 44 Lathi 45 Amreli 46 Dhari 48 Rajula 53 Kundla
After Delimitation 94 – Dhari 95 – Amreli 96 – Lathi 97 – Savarkundla 98 – Rajula
7 Bhavnagar
Before Delimitation 49 Botad 50 Gadhada (SC) 51 Palitana 52 Sehore 54 Mahuva 55 Talaja 56 Ghogha 57 Bhavnagar (North) 58 Bhavnagar (South).
Post-delimitation 99 – Mahuva 100 – Talaja 101 – Gariadhar 102 – Palitana 103 – Bhavnagar Rural 104 – Bhavnagar East 105 – Bhavnagar West 106 – Gadhada (SC) 107 – Botad
8 Ahmedabad
Pre-delimitation 59 Dhandhuka 60 Dholka 61 Bavla (SC) 62 Mandal 63 Viramgam 64 Sarkhej 65 Daskroi 67 Sabarmati 68 Ellis Bridge 69 Dariyapur Kazipur 70 Shahpur 71 Kalupur 72 Asarwa 73 Rakhial 74 City Kotda (SC) 75 Khadia 76 Jamalpur 77 Maninagar 78 Naroda
Post-delimitation 39 – Viramgam 40 – Sanand 41 – Ghatlodia 42 – Vejalpur 43 – Vatva 44 – Ellisbridge 45 – Naranpura 46 – Nikol 47 – Naroda 48 – Thakkar Bapa Nagar 49 – Bapunagar 50 – Amraiwadi 51 – Dariyapur 52 – Jamalpur-Khadia 53 – Maninagar 54 – Danilimda (SC) 55 – Sabarmati 56 – Asarwa (SC) 57 – Daskroi 58 – Dholka 59 – Dhandhuka
9 Gandhinagar
Pre-Delimitation 66 Dehgam 79 Gandhinagar 80 Kalol 84 Mansa
Post-Delimitation 34 – Dahegam 35 – Gandhinagar South 36 – Gandhinagar North 37 – Mansa 38 – Kalol
10 Mehsana
10 Mehsana Pre-Delimitation 81 Kadi 82 Jotana (SC) 83 Mehsana 85 Vijapur 86 Visnagar 87 Kheralu 88 Unjha
After Delimitation 20 – Kheralu 21 – Unjha 22 – Visnagar 23 – Bechraji 24 – Kadi (SC) 25 – Mehsana 26 – Vijapur
11 Banaskantha
Before Delimitation 95 Vav 96 Deodar 97 Kankrej 98 Deesa 99 Dhanera 100 Palanpur 101 Vadgam (SC) 102 Danta
After Delimitation 7 – Vav 8 – Tharad 9 – Dhanera 10 – Danta (ST) 11 – Vadgam (SC) 12 – Palanpur 13 – Deesa 14 – Deodar 15 – Kankrej
12 Sabarkantha Before Delimitation 103 Khedbrahma (ST) 104 Idar (SC) 105 Bhiloda 106 Himmatnagar 107 Prantij 108 Modasa 109 Bayad 110 Meghraj
After Delimitation 27 – Himmatnagar 28 – Idar (SC) 29 – Khedbrahma (ST) 30 – Bhiloda (ST) 31 – Modasa 32 – Bayad 33 – Prantij
13 Panchmahal Pre-Delimitation 111 Santrampur 117 Rajgarh 118 Halol 119 Kalol 120 Godhra 121 Shehra 122 Lunawada
After Delimitation 122 – Lunawada 123 – Santrampur (ST) 124 – Shehra 125 – Morwa Hadaf (ST) 126 – Godhra 127 – Kalol 128 – Halol 14 Kaira
14 Kheda
Before Delimitation 124 Balasinor 125 Kapadwanj 126 Thasra 128 Kathlal 129 Mahmadabad 130 Mahudha 131 Nadiad 132 Chaklasi 137 Matar
After Delimitation 115 – Matar 116 – Nadiad 117 – Mahmadabad 118 – Mahudha 119 – Thasra 120 – Kapadwanj 121 – Balasinor
15 Baroda
Before Delimitation 141 Chhota Udaipur (ST) 142 Jetpur 143 Naswadi (ST) 144 Sankheda (ST) 145 Dabhoi 146 Savli 147 Baroda City 148 Sayajiganj 149 Raopura 150 Waghodiya 151 Baroda Rural 152 Padra 153 Karjan (SC)
After Delimitation 135 – Savli 136 – Waghodiya 137 – Chhota Udaipur (ST) 138 – Jetpur (ST) 139 – Sankheda (ST) 140 – Dabhoi 141 – Vadodara City (SC) 142 – Sayajiganj 143 – Akota 144 – Raopura 145 – Manjalpur 146 – Padra 147 – Karjan
16. Broach
Pre-delimitation 154 Jambusar 155 Wagra 156 Broach 157 Ankleshwar 158 Jhagadia (ST)
Post-delimitation 150 – Jambusar 151 – Wagra 152 – Jhagadia (ST) 153 – Bharuch 154 – Ankleshwar
17. Surat
Pre-delimitation 161 Nijhar (ST) 162 Mangrol (ST) 163 Songadh (ST) 164 Vyara (ST) 165 Mahuva (ST) 166 Bardoli (ST) 167 Kamrej (ST) 168 Olpad 169 Surat City (North) 170 Surat City (East) 171 Surat City (West) 172 Choryasi
After delimitation: 155 – Olpad 156 – Mangrol (ST) 157 – Mandvi (ST) 158 – Kamrej 159 – Surat East 160 – Surat North 161 – Varachha Road 162 – Karanj 163 – Limbayat 164 – Udhna 165 – Majura 166 – Katargam 167 – Surat West 168 – Choryasi 169 – Bardoli (SC) 170 – Mahuva (ST) 171 – Vyara (ST) 172 – Nizar (ST)
)
18 valsad
Delimitation East 178 Valsad 179 Dharampur (ST) 180 Mota Pondha (ST) 181 Pardi (ST) 182 Umargaon (ST)
After delimitation 178 – Dharampur (ST) 179 – Valsad 180 – Pardi 181 – Kaprada (ST) 182 – Umbergaon (ST)
19 dong
Pre-delimitation 177 Dang-Bansda (SC)
After delimitation 173 – Dang (ST)
20 Porbandar
boundary
East 32 Porbandar 33 Kutiyana
After Delimitation 83 – Porbandar 84 – Kutiyana
21 Patan Pre-Delimitation 89 Siddhpur 90 Wagdod 91 Patan 92 Chanasma 93 Sami 94 Radhanpur
After Delimitation 16 – Radhanpur 17 – Chanasma 18 – Patan 19 – Siddhpur
22 Dohad
Before Delimitation 112 Jhalod (ST) 113 Limdi (ST) 114 Dohad (ST) 115 Limkheda (ST) 116 Devgad Baria 123 Randhikpur (ST)
After Delimitation 129 – Fatepura (ST) 130 – Jhalod (ST) 131 – Limkheda (ST) 132 – Dahod (ST) 133 – Garbada (ST) 134 – Deogarhbaria
23 Anand
Pre-delimitation 127 Umreth 133 Anand 134 Sarsa 135 Petlad 136 Sojitra (SC) 138 Borsad 139 Bhadran 140 Cambay
Post-delimitation 108 – Khambhat 109 – Borsad 110 – Anklav 111 – Umreth 112 – Anand 113 – Petlad 114 – Sojitra
24 Narmada
Pre-delimitation 159 Dediapada (ST) 160 Rajpipla (ST)
Post-delimitation 148 – Nandod (ST) 149 – Dediapada (ST)
25 Navsari
Pre-delimitation 173 Jalalpur 174 Navsari (ST) 175 Gandevi 176 Chikhli (ST)
After delimitation: 174 – Jalalpur
175 – Navsari
176 – Gandevi (ST)
177 – Vansada (ST)
26 Tapi
Pre-delimitation: 161 Nijhar (ST)
164 Vyara (ST)
After delimitation: 171 Vyara
172 Nijhar
(Google translation from Gujarati)
